#Brexit

In any negotiation there has to be carrot and stick. By removing the stick, one side is at an immediate disadvantage. When ‘no deal’ was eventually taken off the table through a Parliamentary vote, this handed the EU the upper hand.

The ‘stick’ of a no deal Brexit had been removed.

In what had already become the most public game of poker in recent political history, we were effectively laying our cards on the table for all to see.

The current Government’s decision to bring the threat of ‘no deal’ back into play, together with uncertainty about the financial package (the £39Bn), has made the EU finally sit up and take notice. Finally, our cards are being being brought closer to our chest.

The EU doesn’t want a ‘no deal’ Brexit any more than the UK does. Voting to remove no deal from the negotiating table was a huge mistake. It played into the EU’s hands.

Now, the chances of finding a compromise deal with the EU before 31st October are once again alive and kicking. Allowing the government to focus on those negotiations seems to me to be a wholly sensible course of action.

Yet the hysterical response by some remainders and other left wing radicals is continuing to give the EU hope that internal politics in Westminster will lead to another delay, and the UK’s eventual exit on the EU’s preferred terms. Remainers are doing their best to turn over our cards once more.

Following constitutional precedent is not a coup.

The real hope of the EU though is that those British politicians who never wanted to leave the EU in the first place, and who want to ignore the results of the referendum in 2016, will create such chaos in the UK that the only viable way forward is to go back to the electorate for a second ‘people’s vote’, in the hope that the decision to leave is reversed.

The EU has form in re-running referendums until they get the right result.

Meanwhile the damage being done to the UK economically, diplomatically and reputationally continues to rise.

In Boris Johnson we have someone who has seized the initiative in negotiations with the EU. Accusations that he is acting undemocratically are hollow coming from those whose fundamental aims are to ignore or overturn the democratic will of the people.

And those accusing the Queen of being dragged into a constitutional crisis should look no further than Jeremy Corbyn’s decision to write a letter to Her Majesty, requesting an audience in order to change her mind.

For someone like Corbyn to seek support from the head of an institution that he would happily disband before breakfast, shows how blinded those opposing #Brexit have become. That Jo Swinson has followed suit is particularly disappointing.

MPs queuing up to describe the PM as a dictator have become confused with decisiveness. And their cries are borne out of ignorance over the art of negotiation.

Stick and carrot. To be successful, we need both.

Whatever you may think of Johnson and his collection of cronies in the cabinet, he is at least doing his best to honour the 2016 result and to allow this country to move on from the paralysis and indecision of the last 3 years.

I didn’t vote leave and I do not believe that Johnson’s government will necessarily be good for the long term health of this country, but I am willing to bite the bullet in the short term if it brings some stability and certainty to the UK.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s